Correlates titer of protection against SARS-CoV-2 proposed by different study groups

Authors, referenceType of studyDesignSubjects, participantsMethods for anti-SARS-CoV-2 antibodies detection, unitsProposed correlate titer of protection (units)
Corbett et al. [53]Animal modelmRNA-1273 vaccineNon-human primatesIU/mLNo animal with S-specific IgG > 336 IU/mL had BAL subgenomic RNA (sgRNA) > 10,000 copies/mL, and no animal with S-specific IgG > 645 IU/mL had NS sgRNA > 100,000 copies/swab, so these were chosen as the thresholds for protection
Sui et al. [50]Animal modelVaccine
ChAdOx1
nCov-19
Ad26
COV2.S
mRNA-1273
BBIBP-CorV
PiCovacc
DNA
Non-human primatesAb-pseudo/live Nab10-160/N/A
408/113
1862/3481
N/A/200
N/A/10–100
N/A/74
Feng et al. [37]Randomized single-blind vaccine efficacy trialChAdOx1 nCoV-19 vaccineHumansFor 90% VE: anti-S IgG: 899 (369, NC), BAU/mL; Anti-RBD IgG: 2360 (723, NC) BAU/mL
Normalized live-virus neutralization assay: 938 (294, NC) NF50
Pseudovirus neutralization assay: 140 (43, NC) IU/mL
A vaccine efficacy of 80% against symptomatic infection with majority alpha (B.1.1.7) variant of SARS-CoV-2 was achieved with 264 BAU/mL: and 506 BAU/mL for anti-S and anti-RBD antibodies, and 26 IU/mL and 247 normalized neutralization titers (NF50) for pseudovirus and live-virus neutralization, respectively
For 80% VE against primary symptomatic COVID-19, for anti-S IgG, was a level of 264 BAU/mL
For anti-RBD IgG, 80% efficacy was achieved with a median antibody level of 506 BAU/mL (95% CI: 135, NC)
Lau et al. [8]Cohort studyImmunity 90 days after infection with SARS-COV-2/convalescenceHumanN/A
Neutralizing antibody is clearly one major correlate of protection, but the titers associated with protection from re-infection are not precisely defined
The threshold for 50% protection from re-infection for PRNT50 and PRNT90 were 1:25.9 (95% CI 1:24.7–1:27.6) and 1:8.9 (95% CI 1:8.6–1:9.4) respectively
50% of patients who recover from symptomatic SARS-CoV would be protected from re-infection for 701 days based on PRNT90 titers or 990 days as estimated by PRNT50 titers
Meschi et al. [54]Observational studyAntibody response to an mRNA vaccineHuman, 120 vaccinated HCW and 94 previously infectedN/A
Quantitative anti-RBD and virus microneutralization test for robust (≥ 1:80) MNT titer
A threshold of 2,000 BAU/mL is highly predictive of strong MNT response in vaccinated individuals and may represent a good surrogate marker of a protective response
Correlation between BAU and MNT titers (MNT titer (≥ 1:80) was reached at 1,814 and 3,564 BAU/mL)
Bates et al. [55]Cohort studyVaccine/convalescenceHuman, vaccinated and previously infectedN/AEscape of the emerging SARS-CoV-2 variants from neutralization by serum antibodies, which may lead to reduced protection from re-infection or increased risk of vaccine breakthrough
Earle et al. [47]Statistical analysisVaccineHumanN/AAntibody titers correlated with efficacy across seven different vaccines; where higher titers correlated with higher vaccine efficacy, despite other uncontrolled variables
Khoury et al. [10]Statistical analysisVaccineHumanN/ADespite the known inconsistencies between studies, a comparison of normalized neutralization levels and vaccine efficacy demonstrated a remarkably strong non-linear relationship between mean neutralization level and the reported protection across different vaccines
Dimeglio et al. [48]Cohort studyVaccinated/unvaccinated/convalescenceHumans, 8758 HCWsNAb titer ≥ 256 was associated with full (100%) protection
ELISA-concentration of 1,700 BAU/mL and above provided full protection
The thresholds of protection should be confirmed in further studies on other populations.
Antibody’s reduced neutralizing capacity against new emerging VOC should be tested
van der Lubbe
et al. [45]
Animal modelVaccineSyrian hamstersNab protective titer between 64–128
ELISA log10 between 3.5–4
Hamsters were classified either as infected or protected from SARS-CoV-2, defined as a lung viral load of either above or below 102 TCID50/g, respectively
Tostanoski et al. [46]Animal modelVaccine70 Syrian golden hamstersRBD-specific binding antibodies were assessed by ELISAA significant correlation was found between ab titer and lower viral load
Yu et al. [50]Animal modelVaccineRhesus macaques, non-human primatesLog Nab titerLog Nab titer above 2.0 provided complete protection
McMahan et al. [3]Animal modelConvalescentNon-human primates (31 rhesus macaques)NAb titresNAb titers of approximately 500 fully protected macaques, and titers of approximately 50 partially protected macaques. These titers should be readily achievable by vaccination in humans. These data demonstrate that relatively low NAb titers are sufficient to protect against SARS-CoV-2 in rhesus macaques
Haveri et al. [56]Observational studyConvalescenseHumansNabNAb against the WT virus persisted in 89% and S-IgG in 97% of subjects for at least 13 months after infection. Only 36% had N-IgG by 13 months. The mean S-IgG concentrations declined from 8 to 13 months by less than one-third; N-IgG concentrations declined by two-thirds
Xiang et al. [39]Observational studyConvalescent COVID-19 patientsHumansVirus neutralizing AbAfter one year, approximately 90% of recovered patients still had detectable SARS-CoV-2-specific IgG antibodies against nucleocapsid antigen and RBD-S. Neutralizing activity was detectable in ~43% of patients with a reduction of virus-neutralizing capacity of 22.6% to VOC

NC: not computed; BAL: broncho-alveolar lavage; Ab: antobodies; VE: vaccine efficacies; NF50: normalized live-virus neutralization titer; N/A: not applicable; MNT: minimal neutralizing titer; WT: wild type; PRNT50: plaque reduction neutralization at 50% neutralization endpoint; PRNT90: plaque reduction neutralization at 90% neutralization endpoint; NS: non-significant