From:  Liquid biopsy in genitourinary cancers: circulating tumor DNA as a predictive biomarker for treatment selection and resistance monitoring

 Characteristics of the included studies (n = 15).

StudyDesignCancer typeSample/populationKey outcome(s)ctDNA method
Del Re et al., 2021 [7]OriginalProstate, mCRPCn = 84AR gain in cfDNA (14.3%) + AR-V7 in exosomes (35.7%) predict primary ARSI resistance; combined-aberration PFS 3.8 vs. 28 months (P < 0.0001)cfDNA + exosomes (ddPCR)
Isebia et al., 2025 [8]Original, prospectiveProstate, mCRPCn = 196Baseline GWA-high predicts poor ARSI response (HR 2.63) but not taxanes; early GWA-high predicts both (HR 6.73/2.79)cfDNA aneuploidy (mFast-SeqS)
Sweeney et al., 2024 [9]Ph III biomarker (secondary analysis)Prostate, mCRPCn = 494ctDNA TF at C3D1 predicts OS; mOS 22.1 vs. 16.0 months (ctDNA-undetected/PSA-not-reduced vs. ctDNA-detected/PSA-reduced; P < 0.001)Tissue-agnostic plasma (FoundationOne Monitor)
Kwan et al., 2022 [3]Narrative reviewProstate, mCRPCNRImplementation pathways: prognosis, monitoring, genotyping; CHIP misattribution risk 15–20%Multi-platform overview
Lindskrog et al., 2023 [10]Original, 2-cohort longitudinalUrothelial, MIBCn = 170 (68 + 102)Post-RC ctDNA: 94% sensitivity/98% specificity for relapse; NAC-naïve post-RC HR 17.8 (P = 0.0002)Signatera tumor-informed mPCR-NGS
Nawaf et al., 2023 [11]Narrative reviewUrothelial, MIBCNRIMvigor010 ctDNA-stratified adjuvant atezolizumab benefit (HR 0.59); TOMBOLA/IMvigor011 ongoingSignatera + trial landscape
Katsimperis et al., 2025 [12]Narrative reviewUrothelial, MIBCNRTumor-informed vs. agnostic testing; perioperative risk stratification, MRD, bladder-sparing rationaleMultiple
Crocetto et al., 2025 [13]Systematic review (qualitative)Urothelial, NMIBC-MIBCNRBroader liquid biopsy landscape (urine methylation, CTC, ctDNA); ctDNA one componentMulti-analyte
Del Re et al., 2022 [14]Original, prospectiveRenal, mccRCCn = 48cfDNA > 0.883 ng/µL + TP53mut predict shorter PFS (7.23 vs. NR months; P = 0.001) and OS (23.9 vs. NR months; P = 0.008)cfDNA quantity + Oncomine NGS
Kato et al., 2025 [15]Original, nationwide cohortRenal, mRCCn = 124TF < 1.2% → better PFS (HR 0.467); BAP1 mutation → poor OS (HR 0.487); new mutations at progression in 46.8%SCRUM-Japan MONSTAR-SCREEN NGS panel
Alam et al., 2025 [16]Case seriesRenal, diverse histologiesn = 6Serial ctDNA guided adjuvant/salvage decisions in all 6 cases; authors note lower sensitivity/NPV in kidney cancersSignatera
Jikuya et al., 2025 [17]Narrative reviewRenalNRLower ctDNA shedding vs. other tumors; no routine treatment-selection biomarker yet; EVs as complementary analyteMulti liquid biopsy
Nakano et al., 2022 [18]Original, prospectiveUTUC, perioperativen = 50Preoperative ctDNA fraction > 2% independently predicts worse RFS; CHIP caused 19% false-positive TP53 callsOncomine Pan-Cancer cfDNA (CHIP-filtered)
Jang et al., 2023 [19]Original, pilot prospectiveMixed GU (RCC 15, UC 4, PC 1), advanced/ICIn = 20ctDNA-imaging concordance 83% (15/18); ORR 70%; CNS metastases a discordance blind spotSignatera tumor-informed
Gerke et al., 2024 [2]Narrative reviewMixed GUNRCross-site overview of detection/prognosis/monitoring; RCC flagged as highest unmet needMultiple

This table describes the 15 studies included in the narrative synthesis (see in ctDNA in RCC: emerging evidence and current limitations section). Distribution by design: original research = 8 (53.3%); narrative reviews = 5 (33.3%); systematic review (qualitative) = 1 (6.7%); case series = 1 (6.7%); the IMbassador250 ctDNA biomarker analysis (Sweeney et al. [9]) and the SCRUM-Japan MONSTAR-SCREEN cohort (Kato et al. [15]) are counted as original research. All percentage denominators refer to n = 15. mCRPC: metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer; AR: androgen receptor; AR-V7: AR splice variant 7; ARSI: AR signaling inhibitor; PFS: progression-free survival; ddPCR: digital droplet polymerase chain reaction; GWA: genome-wide aneuploidy; HR: hazard ratio; TF: tumor fraction; C3D1: cycle 3, day 1; mOS: median overall survival; PSA: prostate-specific antigen; NR: not reported; not reached (survival estimates); CHIP: clonal hematopoiesis of indeterminate potential; MIBC: muscle-invasive bladder cancer; Post-RC: post-radical cystectomy; NAC: neoadjuvant chemotherapy; mPCR: multiplex polymerase chain reaction; NGS: next-generation sequencing; MRD: minimal residual disease; NMIBC: non- MIBC; CTC: circulating tumor cell; mccRCC: metastatic clear cell renal cell carcinoma; TP53: tumor protein p53; OS: overall survival; mRCC: metastatic renal cell carcinoma; NPV: negative predictive value; EVs: extracellular vesicles; UTUC: upper tract urothelial carcinoma; RFS: recurrence-free survival; GU: genitourinary; RCC: renal cell carcinoma; UC: urothelial carcinoma; PC: prostate cancer; ICI: immune checkpoint inhibitor; ORR: objective response rate; CNS: central nervous system.