Characteristics of the included studies (n = 15).
| Study | Design | Cancer type | Sample/population | Key outcome(s) | ctDNA method |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Del Re et al., 2021 [7] | Original | Prostate, mCRPC | n = 84 | AR gain in cfDNA (14.3%) + AR-V7 in exosomes (35.7%) predict primary ARSI resistance; combined-aberration PFS 3.8 vs. 28 months (P < 0.0001) | cfDNA + exosomes (ddPCR) |
| Isebia et al., 2025 [8] | Original, prospective | Prostate, mCRPC | n = 196 | Baseline GWA-high predicts poor ARSI response (HR 2.63) but not taxanes; early GWA-high predicts both (HR 6.73/2.79) | cfDNA aneuploidy (mFast-SeqS) |
| Sweeney et al., 2024 [9] | Ph III biomarker (secondary analysis) | Prostate, mCRPC | n = 494 | ctDNA TF at C3D1 predicts OS; mOS 22.1 vs. 16.0 months (ctDNA-undetected/PSA-not-reduced vs. ctDNA-detected/PSA-reduced; P < 0.001) | Tissue-agnostic plasma (FoundationOne Monitor) |
| Kwan et al., 2022 [3] | Narrative review | Prostate, mCRPC | NR | Implementation pathways: prognosis, monitoring, genotyping; CHIP misattribution risk 15–20% | Multi-platform overview |
| Lindskrog et al., 2023 [10] | Original, 2-cohort longitudinal | Urothelial, MIBC | n = 170 (68 + 102) | Post-RC ctDNA: 94% sensitivity/98% specificity for relapse; NAC-naïve post-RC HR 17.8 (P = 0.0002) | Signatera tumor-informed mPCR-NGS |
| Nawaf et al., 2023 [11] | Narrative review | Urothelial, MIBC | NR | IMvigor010 ctDNA-stratified adjuvant atezolizumab benefit (HR 0.59); TOMBOLA/IMvigor011 ongoing | Signatera + trial landscape |
| Katsimperis et al., 2025 [12] | Narrative review | Urothelial, MIBC | NR | Tumor-informed vs. agnostic testing; perioperative risk stratification, MRD, bladder-sparing rationale | Multiple |
| Crocetto et al., 2025 [13] | Systematic review (qualitative) | Urothelial, NMIBC-MIBC | NR | Broader liquid biopsy landscape (urine methylation, CTC, ctDNA); ctDNA one component | Multi-analyte |
| Del Re et al., 2022 [14] | Original, prospective | Renal, mccRCC | n = 48 | cfDNA > 0.883 ng/µL + TP53mut predict shorter PFS (7.23 vs. NR months; P = 0.001) and OS (23.9 vs. NR months; P = 0.008) | cfDNA quantity + Oncomine NGS |
| Kato et al., 2025 [15] | Original, nationwide cohort | Renal, mRCC | n = 124 | TF < 1.2% → better PFS (HR 0.467); BAP1 mutation → poor OS (HR 0.487); new mutations at progression in 46.8% | SCRUM-Japan MONSTAR-SCREEN NGS panel |
| Alam et al., 2025 [16] | Case series | Renal, diverse histologies | n = 6 | Serial ctDNA guided adjuvant/salvage decisions in all 6 cases; authors note lower sensitivity/NPV in kidney cancers | Signatera |
| Jikuya et al., 2025 [17] | Narrative review | Renal | NR | Lower ctDNA shedding vs. other tumors; no routine treatment-selection biomarker yet; EVs as complementary analyte | Multi liquid biopsy |
| Nakano et al., 2022 [18] | Original, prospective | UTUC, perioperative | n = 50 | Preoperative ctDNA fraction > 2% independently predicts worse RFS; CHIP caused 19% false-positive TP53 calls | Oncomine Pan-Cancer cfDNA (CHIP-filtered) |
| Jang et al., 2023 [19] | Original, pilot prospective | Mixed GU (RCC 15, UC 4, PC 1), advanced/ICI | n = 20 | ctDNA-imaging concordance 83% (15/18); ORR 70%; CNS metastases a discordance blind spot | Signatera tumor-informed |
| Gerke et al., 2024 [2] | Narrative review | Mixed GU | NR | Cross-site overview of detection/prognosis/monitoring; RCC flagged as highest unmet need | Multiple |
This table describes the 15 studies included in the narrative synthesis (see in ctDNA in RCC: emerging evidence and current limitations section). Distribution by design: original research = 8 (53.3%); narrative reviews = 5 (33.3%); systematic review (qualitative) = 1 (6.7%); case series = 1 (6.7%); the IMbassador250 ctDNA biomarker analysis (Sweeney et al. [9]) and the SCRUM-Japan MONSTAR-SCREEN cohort (Kato et al. [15]) are counted as original research. All percentage denominators refer to n = 15. mCRPC: metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer; AR: androgen receptor; AR-V7: AR splice variant 7; ARSI: AR signaling inhibitor; PFS: progression-free survival; ddPCR: digital droplet polymerase chain reaction; GWA: genome-wide aneuploidy; HR: hazard ratio; TF: tumor fraction; C3D1: cycle 3, day 1; mOS: median overall survival; PSA: prostate-specific antigen; NR: not reported; not reached (survival estimates); CHIP: clonal hematopoiesis of indeterminate potential; MIBC: muscle-invasive bladder cancer; Post-RC: post-radical cystectomy; NAC: neoadjuvant chemotherapy; mPCR: multiplex polymerase chain reaction; NGS: next-generation sequencing; MRD: minimal residual disease; NMIBC: non- MIBC; CTC: circulating tumor cell; mccRCC: metastatic clear cell renal cell carcinoma; TP53: tumor protein p53; OS: overall survival; mRCC: metastatic renal cell carcinoma; NPV: negative predictive value; EVs: extracellular vesicles; UTUC: upper tract urothelial carcinoma; RFS: recurrence-free survival; GU: genitourinary; RCC: renal cell carcinoma; UC: urothelial carcinoma; PC: prostate cancer; ICI: immune checkpoint inhibitor; ORR: objective response rate; CNS: central nervous system.